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    題名: 台灣主要死因的空間群聚分析
    Spatial Clustering Analysis of Leading Causes of Death in Taiwan
    作者: 邱碧君;Pi-Chun Chiu
    貢獻者: 公共衛生學院生物統計所
    關鍵詞: 十大死因;空間統計;空間自相關;空間模型;leading cause of death;spatial statistics;spatial autocorrelation;spatial modeling
    日期: 2010
    上傳時間: 2010-09-29 12:02:36 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 在流行病學研究上,疾病在空間中的分布為研究者探索的重點之一,藉由聚集可察覺某地區不同於其他地區的疾病分布情形,進一步探討環境中可能影響疾病聚集的原因。近年來空間統計發展非常迅速,除了以視覺化的方式呈現疾病聚集的現象,也可透過空間模型的驗證來探討影響因子與死亡率之相關性。
    本研究主要利用空間自相關(spatial autocorrelation)探討台灣地區男性及女性於87-91年、92-96年兩個年段主要死因之標準化死亡率分布狀況,了解主要死因在鄉鎮市區層級是否具有空間群聚的現象。進一步再利用空間迴歸模型,考慮空間自相關所造成的影響,探討醫療資源與人口密度與事故傷害死亡率的相關性。

    In epidemiology, it is essential to understand the spatial characteristics of diseased population for developing more sophisticated models or sampling programs. The distribution pattern of disease reveals how a disease spreads and what the disease risk factors are. The spatial analysis has been developed for visualizing and analyzing geographically referenced health and environmental data in recent years. Such an analysis method has motivated researchers to identify the potential disease risk factor and to design the efficient disease surveillance as well as control programs.

    In this study, we investigated the leading causes of death in the township level to observe the spatial-temporal clustering patterns in Taiwan. We used age-standardized mortality rates by gender from1998 to 2002 and from 2003 to 2007 in 358 townships. First, the exploratory analysis was used to detect whether there were spatial clustering townships with higher or lower mortality rates at local and global levels for each specific cause of death. Second, considering the effect of spatial autocorrelation, the spatial regression model was used to explore the relationships between medical resources, population density and the accident mortality rates.
    顯示於類別:[生物統計研究所] 博碩士論文

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